دانلود رایکان مقاله انگلیسی ISI با موضوع مدل سازی تقاضای بنزین در ایالات متحده
عنوان فارسی مقاله:
مدل سازی تقاضای بنزین در ایالات متحده: روشی نیمه پارامتری و انعطاف پذیر
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Modeling gasoline demand in the United States: A flexible semiparametric approach
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1. Introduction
Gasoline demand has been widely studied in the last 30 years. After the negotiation of the Kyoto Protocol in 1997, concerns about increasing greenhouse gas emissions and global warming have renewed interests in this area in the last decade. Besides environmental regulations, imposing a gasoline tax is one way to reduce gasoline consumption and greenhouse gas emissions from the transportation sector. The effectiveness of such a tax largely depends on how gasoline demand responds to price changes, the measurement of which calls for a properly specified demand model and precise estimation of the price elasticity. A reduced-form demand model applied to aggregate data to estimate the demand for gasoline has been, by far, the most preferred and dominant approach in both the academic and non-academic literature. Hundreds of studies have been conducted to assess the price elasticity and income elasticity of gasoline demand at country or region levels. There are also a great number of reviews and surveys attempting to synthesize and compare the results of those studies (e.g., Basso and Oum, 2007; Blum et al., 1988; Dahl, 1995; Dahl and Sterner, 1991a,b; Drollas, 1984; Espey, 1998; Goodwin, 1992; Goodwin et al., 2004; Graham and Glaister, 2002; Sterner and Dahl, 1992). However, there are substantial differences in the estimates of both price elasticity and income elasticity
1) مقدمه
تقاضای بنزین در ۳۰ سال اخیر تحت مطالعات وسیعی قرار گرفته است. پس از مذاکرات پروتکل کایوتو در سال ۱۹۹۷، نگرانیها در مورد افزایش انتشار گازهای گلخانهای و گرمایش زمین گروههای ذینفع این عرصه را در دهه اخیر تجدید قوا کرد. افزون بر مقررات زیستمحیطی، اعمال مالیات بنزین راهی برای کاهش مصرف بنزین و انتشار گازهای گلخانهای حاصل از حوزه حمل و نقل بود. تأثیربخشی چنین مالیاتی تا حد زیادی به نحوه واکنش تقاضای بنزین به تغییرات قیمت، سنجش عواملی که به مدل تقاضای صحیح نیاز دارند و تخمین دقیق تغییرپذیری قیمت بستگی دارد. مدل تقاضا کوتاه شدهای که برای جمعبندی دادهها جهت تخمین تقاضای بنزین استفاده میشود به مراتب بهترین مدل و روش برتر در منابع علمی دانشگاهی و غیردانشگاهی به حساب میآید. صدها مطالعه به منظور ارزیابی تغییرپذیری قیمت و تغییرپذیری درآمد تقاضای بنزین در سطوح کشوری یا منطقهای انجام گرفته است. همچنین، بازنگریها و پیمایشهایی زیادی انجام شده است که تلاش کردند تا نتایج این مطالعات را ترکیب و با هم مقایسه کنند. با این حال، تفاوتهای اساسی در تخمین تغییرپذیری قیمت و تغییرپذیری درآمد دیده میشود.
کلمات کلیدی
Modeling gasoline demand in the United States: A flexible ... https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988314001613 by W Liu - 2014 - Cited by 23 - Related articles Model the demand for gasoline in the U.S. using a semiparametric approach. ... I address these challenges using a flexible demand model and a recently ... Modeling gasoline demand in the United States: A flexible ... https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eneeco/v45y2014icp244-253.html by W Liu - 2014 - Cited by 23 - Related articles The econometric approach allows for functional coefficients to accommodate the ... Modeling gasoline demand in the United States: A flexible semiparametric ... Modeling Gasoline Demand in the United States: A ... - ResearchGate https://www.researchgate.net/.../264287623_Modeling_Gasoline_Demand_in_the_Unite... Request PDF on ResearchGate | Modeling Gasoline Demand in the United States: A Flexible Semiparametric Approach | The focus of this paper is on the ... [PDF]Modelling Gasoline Demand in the United States - Chicago Booth faculty.chicagobooth.edu/midwest.econometrics/Papers/MEGWLiu.pdf by W Liu - 2011 - Cited by 23 - Related articles Aug 4, 2011 - gasoline demand in the United States from a semiparametric smooth coefficient model. The econo- metric approach provides more flexibility by ... [PDF]A Semiparametric Analysis of Gasoline Demand in the US ... faculty.baruch.cuny.edu/smanzan/files/papers/gasoline_web.pdf by S Manzan - Cited by 11 - Related articles Keywords: semiparametric methods, partially linear additive model, gasoline ..... while allowing flexible modeling of the price-income-age structure of demand. Data for: Modeling gasoline demand in the United States: A flexible ... https://data.mendeley.com/datasets/t7bggzg4tn/1 Data for: Modeling gasoline demand in the United States: A flexible semiparametric approach. Published: 30 Nov 2016 | Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/t7bggzg4tn.1. [PDF]Modelling Gasoline Demand in the United States: A Flexible ... https://cenrep.ncsu.edu/cenrep/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/CAMP1.pdf by W Liu - Cited by 23 - Related articles Modelling Gasoline Demand in the United States: A Flexible Semiparametric Approach. Weiwei Liu. Department of Economics. State University of New York at ... Household Gasoline Demand in the United States - Schmalensee ... https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1468-0262.00041 by R Schmalensee - 1999 - Cited by 178 - Related articles Dec 9, 2003 - Household Gasoline Demand in the United States ... 1 Haotian Chen, Russell Smyth, Xibin Zhang, A Bayesian sampling approach to measuring the price ... Zhu, Semiparametric estimation of multivariate partially linear models, Journal of ... demand in the United States: A flexible semiparametric approach, ... A Semiparametric Analysis of Gasoline Demand in the US ... https://www.semanticscholar.org/...Semiparametric...Gasoline-Demand.../be78b16e4ae7e... A Semiparametric Analysis of Gasoline Demand in the US : Reexamining ... of the Partially Linear Additive Model (PLAM) to the analysis of gasoline ... Modelling Gasoline Demand in the United States : A Flexible Semiparametric Approach. [PDF]Introduction and summary - DiVA portal https://www.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:644046/FULLTEXT01.pdf by A Karimu - 2013 functional specifications for aggregate energy demand models appropriate for the ..... gasoline demand in Sweden: a semi-parametric approach. The usual ... case of the stated papers to a flexible specification where both male and female ... Page navigation